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Bioenergy GHG calculator

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The use of forest-based bioenergy to replace fossil fuels in heat and electricity generation, as well as in other applications, has the potential to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Under sustainable forest management practices, forests can provide renewable feedstock for bioenergy. However, the presumed “carbon neutrality” of forest bioenergy has been the subject of much debate recently. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recognizes that forest bioenergy is not automatically carbon neutral. On most cases, the change in forest practices to harvest and use more biomass for bioenergy will increase GHG emissions and therefore reduce forest carbon stocks, thereby producing a so-called carbon debt. This reduction in forest carbon will eventually be balanced over time by the fossil emissions avoided from the use of bioenergy. Once this period is over, atmospheric GHG benefits are achieved. On some other cases, the change in forest practices to harvest and use more biomass for bioenergy will not increase GHG emissions (carbon neutrality) or will decrease emissions (carbon gain) immediately.

Pellets

Accordingly, the GHG balance of a forest bioenergy project is highly variable and time dependent. It is influenced by a variety of factors, including biomass feedstock, application, transportation, forest management and what is considered as the baseline (or counterfactual), i.e., what would have happened if bioenergy had not been used? This tool makes it possible to evaluate in a clear and comprehensive way the GHG mitigation potential and timing of GHG emission reductions when forest bioenergy is used as a substitute for fossil energy. The uncertainty related to the timing of GHG emission reductions is also provided. Users are invited to build their own bioenergy project by selecting different options related to the supply chain, forest dynamics and what they consider the most representative baseline to compare their project with. Results are presented over a 100-year time frame, starting from year 0, with the production and use of bioenergy sourced from a sustainably managed forest landscape. By default, scenario emissions from collection, transformation, transport, and combustion stop at 25 years to account for changing technology and the average lifespan of equipment. Emissions that take a long time to be released, such as those associated with decay processes, continue to be monitored until the end of the simulation. Results can be used to provide guidance for promoting the best use of forest bioenergy for GHG mitigation.

The equations, analysis methodology, and error terms are presented in the following papers:

  • Robert, L.-E., Serra, R., Roussel, J.-R., Thiffault, E., & Laganière, J. (2025). Assessing the greenhouse gas balance of forest bioenergy projects with the Bioenergy GHG R-package. In preparation.
  • Laganière, J., Paré, D., Thiffault, E., & Bernier, P. Y. (2017). Range and uncertainties in estimating delays in greenhouse gas mitigation potential of forest bioenergy sourced from Canadian forests. GCB Bioenergy, 9: 358–369. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12327.

Examples of studies using the model:

  • Steenberg, J. W. N., Laganière, J, Ayer, N. W., & Duinker, P. N. (2023). Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Forest Bioenergy Production at Combined Heat and Power Projects in Nova Scotia, Canada. Forest Science, fxac060. https://doi.org/10.1093/forsci/fxac060.
  • Buss, J., Mansuy, N., Laganière, J., & Persson, D. (2022). Greenhouse gas mitigation potential of replacing diesel fuel with wood-based bioenergy in an arctic Indigenous community: A pilot study in Fort McPherson, Canada. Biomass and Bioenergy, 159: 106367. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2022.106367.
  • Serra, R., Niknia, I., Paré, D., Titus, B., Gagnon, B., & Laganière, J. (2019). From conventional to renewable natural gas: can we expect GHG savings in the near term?. Biomass and Bioenergy, 131:105396. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2019.105396.

Calculation form

Harvest residues are defined as all woody debris generated during harvesting operations for traditional wood products, such as branches, tree tops, and bark, but excluding stumps and downed non-merchantable trees. Harvest residues do not include sawmill residues, which provide atmospheric benefits very rapidly. The value is averaged from several studies. Collection emissions are 0.84 kg CO₂-eq/GJ (Laganière et al., 2017).

The annual emissions of biomass during active drying from the temperature, the initial moisture content, the final moisture content and the type of fuel (Natural Gas here) used to dry the biomass according to Haque and Somerville (2013).

Emissions are 10.45 kg CO₂-eq/GJ (Lamers et al. 2014).

%

This parameter modifies all processes except the transport process and applies uncertainty. Uncertainty is applied as a +/- percentage on all model parameters to establish minimum and maximum values. The model outputs are then generated based on these minimum and maximum values. The default value is a legacy setting from the previous version of this model, where the minimum and maximum values were typically established as -5% and +10%, respectively.

Transportation
Custom transportation distance
km
km
km
%

This parameter modifies the transport process and applies uncertainty. Uncertainty is applied as a +/- percentage on transport process parameters to establish minimum and maximum values. The model outputs are then generated based on these minimum and maximum values. The default value is a legacy setting from the previous version of this model, where the minimum and maximum values were typically established as -50% and +50%, respectively.

Baseline (counterfactual)

Fate of biomass options are only applicable to the baseline scenario.

Describes the decay of residues after harvesting according to the first order decay function as in Smyth et al. (2010).

Substitution

Describes the emissions avoided when using biomass for bioenergy as a substitute for other longer-lived products (e.g., sawnwood, structural panel, non-structural panel, and pulp and paper). Substitution is quantified using a substitution factor, representing the average tons of carbon equivalent avoided per ton of material. This process contributes to the model through negative emissions. In the context of this model, long-lived wood products are assumed to be incinerated at the end of their useful life. Input values in this form represent the percentage of total biomass attributed to each category of usage (sawnwood, structural panel, non-structural panel, pulp and paper, bioenergy, and unmerchantable). "Unmerchantable" refers to any biomass left to the "biomass fate" process. The amount of CO₂-equivalent emissions avoided is then calculated for each category and applied as a negative value in the final result. The substitution process can only be used in cases where there is a displacement of material toward bioenergy compared to a baseline scenario (i.e., non-zero values to bioenergy or unmerchantable parameters in both the baseline and bioenergy scenario).

References

  • Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). (2018). National Inventory Report 1990-2016: Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada. Canada's Submission to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change - PART 2. Available online at: https://www.publications.gc.ca/site/eng/9.506002/publication.html (accessed 2019-02-14).
  • Haque, N., & Somerville, M. (2013). Techno-Economic and Environmental Evaluation of Biomass Dryer.Procedia Engineering 56: 650-655. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2013.03.173.
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2006). Chapter 2: Stationary combustion. In: IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme, Vol 2 (Eggleston, H.S., Buendia, L., Miwa, K., Ngara, T., & Tanabe, K., Eds.), pp. 2.1–2.53. IGES, Japan.
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2014). 2013 Revised Supplementary Methods and Good Practice Guidance Arising from the Kyoto Protocol (Hiraishi, T., Krug, T., Tanabe, K., Srivastava, N., Baasansuren, J., Fukuda, M. & Troxler, T. G., Eds.), Published: IPCC, Switzerland.
  • Lamers, P., & Junginger, M. (2013) The ‘debt’ is in the detail: a synthesis of recent temporal forest carbon analyses on woody biomass for energy. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, 7, 373–385.
  • Lamers, P., Junginger, M., Dymond, C. C., & Faaij, A. (2014). Damaged forests provide an opportunity to mitigate climate change. Gcb Bioenergy, 6(1), 44-60.
  • Kurz, W. A., Dymond, C. C., White, T. M., Stinson, G., Shaw, C. H., Rampley, G. J., Smyth, C., Simpson, B. N., Neilson, E. T., Trofymow, J. A., Metsaranta, J., & Apps, M. J. (2009). CBM-CFS3: A model of carbon-dynamics in forestry and land-use change implementing IPCC standards. Ecological Modelling, 220(4), 480-504. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.10.018.
  • Smyth, C. E., Trofymow, J. A., & Kurz, W. A. (2010). CIDET Working Group, Decreasing uncertainty in CBM-CFS3 estimates of forest soil C sources and sinks through use of long-term data from the Canadian Intersite Decomposition Experiment.
  • Ter-Mikaelian, M. T., Colombo, S. J., & Chen, J. (2016). Greenhouse gas emission effect of suspending slash pile burning in Ontario's managed forests. Forestry Chronicle, 92(3), 345-356. https://doi.org/10.5558/tfc2016-061.

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